Chilly for the trick-or-treating, rain to snow mix happening Sunday
Happy Halloween! Your forecast is looking bone-chilling, but at least there won’t be any wet candy to worry about! Highs today will top off around 50°, and skies will remain partly to mostly sunny through the day. By the time we head into those trick-or-treat hours, temperatures will be in the 40s, so make sure you wear some warm costumes! Overnight lows will fall to around 40° with increasing clouds.
Tomorrow’s forecast is going to be very interesting as we are expecting our first snow of the season. Rain showers will greet us to start off the day, but a cold front will swing through in the afternoon drastically dropping our temperatures from the 40s to the 30s during the day. That cold air is going to transition those rain showers eventually into all snow by the nighttime. Those snow showers will last on into Monday morning. By then, we could have a dusting up to 1″ of snow on the ground. Another thing around tomorrow and Monday is that the winds will be very blustery at about 10-20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph likely. Afterwards, a dry and mild weather pattern settles back in, and we should remain quiet for a few days.
SATURDAY: Partly to mostly sunny.
High: 50
TONIGHT: Increasing clouds.
Low: 40
SUNDAY: Rain showers to start then transitioning to snow showers throughout the day (80%). Winds S-W 10-20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
High: 50 (dropping)
SUNDAY NIGHT: Snow showers continue (60%).
Low: 29
MONDAY: AM snow showers (40%) then clearing.
High: 42
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny.
High: 51 Low: 33
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny.
High: 60 Low: 35
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny.
High: 62 Low: 42
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny.
High: 63 Low: 43
If you're dealing with dryness or flaking on your face, keeping your skin properly moisturized should always be your goal. But if that tightness and flakiness happen to be more concentrated around your nose, you may not want to reach for whatever cream is already on your counter. Instead, going with one of the best lotions for dry skin around the nose will ensure you're getting the right amount of relief without exacerbating further irritation, redness, or even clogged pores. For that reason, the most optimal products are oil-free, non-comedogenic, and formulated with soothing and anti-inflammatory ingredients, like hyaluronic acid and niacinamide. They should also absorb quickly so that your skin feels comfortable and not overly greasy.
You may have noticed that hyaluronic acid, glycerin, and shea butter are commonly found in the ingredient decks of many of the most popular moisturizers for dry skin, and that's because they are indeed effective hydrators. Hyaluronic acid is able to hold 1,000 times its weight in water, while glycerin, another natural humectant, can also help keep skin soft and supple. Shea butter is another excellent skin conditioner, but it's also known for its calming properties, which can help reduce redness. Likewise, licorice root extract is an anti-inflammatory that's also beneficial for eczema.
Since you're aiming to pamper dry spots, choosing an oil-free moisturizer will help prevent any other common concerns associated with the skin on/around your nose, like clogged pores and blackheads, from popping up (tip: creams with niacinamide can do double-duty balancing oil production and supporting the skin barrier). In terms of texture, gels and lightweight, watery creams will absorb the most quickly, but for those days when you need more of a physical barrier, an ointment (featuring a straight occlusive like petroleum) can really help to prevent further water loss.
Apart from all of the aforementioned stellar ingredients, the best lotions for dry noses should also have an enthusiastic fan base to back up their efficacy. Find them all below!
1. The Best Daily Moisturizer With SPF
This lightweight moisturizer has more than 4,000 five-star ratings on Amazon, with many fans calling it "magic" for its ability to hydrate and heal their skin. The star ingredient is panthenol 5, a skin protectant with anti-inflammatory properties. Plus, it contains niacinamide and other hydrators like glycerin and shea butter, as well as ceramides to lock in moisture. It has a creamy texture initially, but dries matte and is super absorbent, according to reviewers. Along with keeping skin deeply nourished, this cream has SPF 30, so you don't need to apply a separate sunscreen when wearing it. It's also fragrance-free, oil-free, and non-comedogenic, so it shouldn't provoke irritation or clog your pores.
One fan's take: "This lotion exceeds all my wants in every way. It is lightweight, non-greasy, absorbs very quickly, and lasts all day. It has never caused the hair around my face to get greasy, a frequent issue of mine, nor caused my glasses to slide up and down my nose on an oil slick. I do not leave face prints on my cell phone either. My skin has improved so dramatically in the last few weeks of using this that I am tempted to believe it's a bit magical. My pores have visibly shrunk around my nose and cheeks...always the worst area for me. My skin color has dramatically evened out and improved with much less redness. And, most importantly, I always feel hydrated now and don't have any dry skin on my face."
2.The Best Gel-Cream
This Neutrogena water gel has a cult following on Amazon, with more than 22,000 five-star ratings. As its name suggests, the product has a gel-like texture that won't clog pores or leave a greasy residue on your skin. Instead, reviewers noted that their skin felt more hydrated and refreshed almost instantly, with one writing, "It was as if my skin just drank it up!" The potent hero ingredient inside is hyaluronic acid, and the oil-free formula makes it a good option for those with oily skin. Just note that it does have a slight fragrance, though many fans report that it's subtle and pleasant.
One fan's take: "This is the moisturizer I have been waiting for my whole life. I have tried moisturizers from what feels like every brand - from the drugstore to the high-end expensive stuff... This stuff feels incredible on my skin - it feels like a relief to put it on. It's not even remotely greasy, absorbs almost instantly, and has the lightest, cleanest fragrance. Other, heavier moisturizers left me with tiny clusters of new blemishes every morning (so frustrating), but this hasn't clogged my pores at all, and my skin feels soft & plump."
3. The Best Redness Relieving Gel Cream
Enriched with skin-soothers like glycerin, panthenol, and licorice root extract, this Eucerin Redness Relief cream goes to work while you sleep by restoring hydration to dry skin as it simultaneously helps calm inflammation. Its unique gel-cream texture absorbs quickly and effortlessly glides right over your skin (a benefit you'll greatly appreciate following a cold or flu that's left you with angry, chapped skin around your nose), which means no greasy mess left on your pillowcase. It's also fragrance-free, oil-free, and non-comedogenic. This jar has more than 1,800 five-star ratings, and if you want the same, effective redness relief, but with SPF 15, be sure to check out the Eucerin Redness Relief Day Lotion.
One fan's take: "I am thrilled that I found this product. I've been struggling with rosacea on my forehead, cheeks, and nose for quite some time. I tried several drug store products were indicated to treat rosacea. None worked. This worked within 2 days. I used it twice a day for the first 2 weeks and now only use it at night. It has no odor and is not greasy. I've already reordered."
4. The Best Ointment
The petroleum-based Aquaphor ointment doesn't just help heal dry, cracked skin, but it's also an occlusive that will further protect skin from irritation caused by harsh weather and/or excess nose-blowing. The dermatologist-recommended formula is fragrance-, dye-, and paraben-free, which means it's also safe for very sensitive skin. The ointment can be used practically anywhere on your body, and many reviewers also report that it makes an excellent lip balm, especially in the colder months. It's also great for dry elbows, hands, and feet. With so many uses, it's no surprise that Aquaphor has over 6,000 five-star ratings.
One fan's take: "This ointment has been amazing to my skin! During colds, I'll apply a thin layer to my nose and under so blowing my nose doesn't become a problem. I'll apply a thin layer to cracked skin or dry patches on my face as well. It has done a great job of immediately making an area feel better, decrease in redness, and feel moisturized. It's been life changing for my eczema too!"
5. The Best For Using Under Makeup
Another great option from La Roche-Posay, the Cicaplast Baume contains anti-inflammatory panthenol, as well as shea butter and glycerin for hydration. You can apply it around your nose on an as-needed basis, but, according to Amazon users, its thicker, velvety texture leaves behind such a smooth, matte finish that it also works really well at keeping skin flake-free under makeup. The non-comedogenic formula is fragrance- and oil-free, and it's also stand-out on Amazon, with more than 2,400+ five-star ratings.
One fan's take: "This stuff is a life-saver. My skin suffers from redness and is extremely sensitive, and there was a noticeable difference after only one use. I've been using it for 3 days now (morning & night), and most of the severe redness is gone. I can also wear it under makeup and it doesn't add any oiliness! You just have to let your skin absorb it before putting on the makeup."
Also Consider: A Hyaluronic Acid- & Cica-Infused Primer That Neutralizes Redness
A skincare/makeup hybrid, this No Pore Blem primer packs a lot of punch for its price, and it has an overwhelming amount of positive reviews. First, it's chock full of dry-skin fighting ingredients like hyaluronic acid, pumpkin seed oil, and centella asiatica (aka cica), which is a staple in Korean beauty products because of its antioxidant properties and ability to soothe compromised skin. And that green hue you see? It will actually help tone down the redness on the surface of your skin.
One fan's take: "I have very dry skin at my nose and this primer absolutely fixes it! I’ve never seen my skin look so flawless and makeup last so long with any primer before. 100% a must buy."
DETROIT – Mother Nature sure can be fickle when it comes to our Halloween weather but, this year, we are really going to luck out.
The sun returns today, so it’ll be a great day to get some leaves done (you won’t be able to do leaves on Sunday), or perhaps make another trip to the Cider Mill.
This also means lots of Maize Sun and Blue Sky over Ann Arbor for today’s big Michigan – Michigan State game!
Highs reaching the upper 40s (9 degrees Celsius) will be much better than what we endured on Friday. A southeast to south wind will develop today, blowing at 10 to 15 mph by afternoon, so there will be a bit of a breeze, but the sun is all that matters as far as I’m concerned.
Today’s sunrise is at 8:06 a.m., and today’s sunset is at 6:27 p.m. Remember to set your clocks back one hour before you go to bed tonight, as we return to eastern standard time. The sun will rise and set an hour earlier on Sunday. Enjoy that extra hour of sleep tonight! Or, as my friend Ashlee Baracy said yesterday, “do we really want an extra hour of 2020?”
Halloween itself looks great for the kids and, most importantly, it will be dry. Cool we can handle…it’s the wet part that ruins the whole thing, and I vividly remember some cold, wet Halloweens where it was so miserable that my kids were done after just a couple of dozen houses. But not this year! Temperatures will fall into the mid 40s (7 degrees Celsius) during the early evening, so a couple of layers under the costume works well. Adding to the evening’s spookiness is the full moon rising in the east. It’s our second full month of the month…a so-called Blue Moon…which doesn’t happen on Halloween very often! The last time it occurred here in Detroit was in 1955, and the next time will be in 2039.
Showers move in between midnight and dawn as a potent cold front approaches. Think about this for a minute: If this front arrived just twelve hours earlier, we’d have another chilly rain on Halloween. But, as I mentioned above, we really lucked out this year. Temperatures may actually rise a bit toward dawn…if you’ll be out before 7 a.m., it should be in the mid 40s (8 degrees Celsius).
The front moves east of us by 8 a.m., and we’ll be partly cloudy for perhaps an hour or two immediately behind the front, before it clouds up again. It will become very windy, with a west wind developing at 20 to 30 mph, with gusts to 40 mph likely. My friends at the National Weather Service are on the fence about whether or not to issue a Wind Advisory for Sunday…they and I will continue to monitor. Regardless, the cold air mass moving in will drop our temperatures into the mid 30s (1 to 2 degrees Celsius) by afternoon…wind chills will be in the mid 20s (-4 degrees Celsius)…and that cold air flowing across the relatively warm Lake Michigan waters will pick up some moisture and drop that moisture in the form of snow bands, some of which will be quite noticeable.
If you have any particularly delicate Halloween decorations out that will be damaged by strong wind, I suggest bringing them in early Sunday before that strong wind kicks in.
Snow showers end quickly Sunday night, with lows in the upper 20s (-2 degrees Celsius).
Clouds break up and give way to afternoon sunshine on Monday, and it’ll be one more chilly day with highs only in the mid 40s (8 degrees Celsius).
But then, we have about as nice a stretch of November weather as we’ll ever see, with sunshine from Tuesday through next weekend. Highs Tuesday will be in the mid 50s (12 degrees Celsius), and then in the low 60s (16 to 17 degrees Celsius) after that!
October 31, 2020 at 05:27PM
https://www.clickondetroit.com/news/local/2020/10/31/metro-detroit-weather-chilly-and-dry-on-halloween-with-rain-possible-sunday/
Metro Detroit weather: Chilly and dry on Halloween with rain possible Sunday - WDIV ClickOnDetroit
Tonight, it will get cold again. The clouds will be the key here. If we start to see some cloud cover, we may not cool quite as much, and it will prevent any frost. If the clouds stay away, it will be cooler and frost will be possible. I am forecasting temperatures to start off in the lower to mid 40s. So, it will still be a bit chilly.
Cold high pressure will be taking over as we head the first part of the weekend. Winds should gradually calm, and we should gradually clear out tonight. Low temps tonight should fall into the upper 20s and low 30s. Widespread frost will be possible in many spots tonight. Turn the heat up!
Saturday looks dry and sunny, with cool high temperatures in the upper 40s and low 50s for most. As of now, Halloween evening is looking dry for any festivities, just chilly! Lows Saturday night should fall into the mid 30s to low 40s.
A cold front looks to slide into our area on Sunday, bringing us a few scattered rain showers throughout the day, especially during the afternoon. Behind this front, another surge of cold air will arrive, and temperatures will bottom out in the 20s Sunday night.
Not everyone will see them, but with just enough moisture left behind the departing front Sunday night, a few snowflakes will be possible at high elevations (mainly above 3500 ft), and especially across Western Greenbrier and Pocahontas counties.
Temps look to gradually rise into next week again...make sure to tune in tonight to WVVA News at 5,6, 10 (CW) and 11 PM for the latest full forecast!
SHREVEPORT, La. (KSLA) - Good morning and happy Friday! As we close out the week and move into your Halloween weekend we are tracking more cool and dry weather ahead for the ArkLaTex. Temperatures this morning this morning are starting on the cold side in the 30s and 40s, but will rebound into the 60s this afternoon.
DENVER (KDVR) — It will be in the mid-60s today with sunny skies across Denver and the Front Range.
The mountains also stay sunny and dry today, 40s and 50s.
The normal high right now in Denver is 60 degrees.
Halloween looks breezy and about 5 degrees cooler as a cold front brushes the state from the north. Denver high of 59. Temps fall through the 50s and 40s for Trick-or-Treaters.
We fall back one hour early Sunday morning. Weather stays sunny and dry with highs around 60.
I’m forecasting a 5 day streak of 70 degree days Monday-Friday. Dry. Wildfire danger increases.
The next storm system with rain/snow doesn’t arrive for about 8 days or more.
Saturday/Halloween forecast. Meteorologist Chris Tomer.
ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (AP) - The record-breaking winter storm brought much needed precipitation to most of New Mexico this week.
But forecasters say drought conditions are expected to persist at least through February as the odds are leaning toward a drier than normal winter.
New Mexico State University will be hosting a series of virtual sessions for farmers and ranchers on drought management and the water outlook starting next week.
The first will focus on southern New Mexico and another is planned for the north the following week.
The latest drought map shows about two-thirds of the state are classified as being in extreme or exceptional drought.
Copyright 2020 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.
FEMA is granting a deadline extension to mid-Michigan residents needing financial assistance with dry wells after the flooding in May.
Underground aquifers were disrupted after the failures of the Edenville and Sanford dams on May 19, which caused area wells to dry up, leaving homeowners without safe or reliable water sources.
The new deadline is November 28. To apply for assistance, visit disasterassistance.gov. You can also call (800) 621-FEMA seven days a week from 7:00 a.m. to 10:00 p.m. Teletype (TTY) users can call (800) 462-7585.
This Halloween is poised to be one like no other, with the normal festivities having to be altered or even cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic. But for those still venturing out for some safe fun, it is important to keep the weather in mind. In a year that has been anything but ordinary, will the weather actually cooperate?
Using data from Paine Field in Everett, it is possible to see the weather of past Halloweens, including temperatures and amount of precipitation. Below is a graph showing the high and low temperatures for each Halloween since 1998.
If you take an average of these values, the average high temperature on Halloween in our region is about 52.6 degrees, while the average low temperature is about 42.9 degrees. Back in 2006, it got as cold as 29 degrees. Talk about having to layer those costumes!
In terms of rain, 59% of the days had measurable rainfall—meaning that at least 0.01 inches of rain had to be recorded. The record maximum rainfall was a whopping 0.93 inches back in 2012.
This year, we are expecting relatively normal conditions for Halloween. The only exception? It’s supposed to be dry! After some modest rainfall amounts on Friday with the passage of a frontal system (and the potential for a Puget Sound Convergence Zone later in the day), high pressure builds over the area, keeping us dry for most of the weekend. If you are planning on going trick-or-treating in some capacity, this will be music to your ears. Temperatures are expected to be close to average, as well. Despite this, it will still be a bit chilly, so make sure to bring those coats for the kids.
The weather should cooperate enough for us to also view a special astronomical treat—a blue moon. A blue moon is the second of two full moons that occur in the same month. These occur more frequently than the “once in a blue moon” phrase suggests, about every two to three years.
There is something a little extra spooky about a full moon on Halloween, and it does not happen very often. In fact, this will be the first time since 1944 that there was a full moon on Halloween! If the clouds cooperate, we should get a prime view.
A picture of the moon (not full) I took over the summer with my Sony A6000 camera.
Make sure to enjoy the beautiful weather this weekend, while we still have it—models are suggesting the start of another rainy period early next week. I will be monitoring this possibility and update you all as needed.
I hope you all have a great (and safe) Halloween and weekend.
P.S. Do you have any fun Halloween weather stories? I would love to hear them—let me know in the comments below.
— By Kelsie Knowles
Kelsie Knowles is a meteorologist and recent University of Washington graduate who lives in north Lynnwood. After writing weather blogs as a KOMO News intern, she discovered a passion for writing about weather. You can learn more in her blog www.wxnoggin.com and you can also follow her on Twitter at @kels_wx3.
October 30, 2020 at 07:56AM
https://myedmondsnews.com/2020/10/under-the-weather-halloween-2020-will-be-dry-and-will-feature-first-blue-moon-since-1944/
Under the Weather: Halloween 2020 will be dry — and will feature first blue moon since 1944 - My Edmonds News
The remnants of Zeta plus the low pressure that brought us all the rain are moving moving eastward and taking the heavy rain with them. We still have one more shot at picking up a couple of lighter rain showers through the rest of the evening and even into tonight, but the worst is over. Many picked up 1 to 2 inches of rain just as we forecast, and some up in northern KY even saw closer to 2.5 inches.
As we head into our Friday, we will begin to see calmer weather returning to us including drier grounds, decreasing clouds, and that means more sunshine! It will look much nicer than we have seen about all week, but temperatures don't improve much if any. We will stay on the cool side with highs near 50 for Friday then into the upper 50s for Halloween.
INDIANAPOLIS (WISH) — A wet and windy Thursday was the story for a majority of the state. Skies remained cloudy throughout the day as well.
Thursday night:
A few showers will linger into the evening hours.
It will be breezy, wet, and cooler with lows dipping into the mid to upper 30s.
Friday:
Trending Headlines
A stray shower cannot be ruled out before sunrise; otherwise, it will be dry for our Friday. Skies will partially clear out throughout the day. Highs will top out in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Weekend:
A pleasant Saturday is ahead with plentiful sunshine as we will rise into the mid 50s for our high temperatures. We will back off into the 40s for Sunday with windy conditions.
8 Day Forecast:
Enjoy a gradual warming trend going through next week. Highs will rise into the low 60s by midweek. Extended dry time is also expected through the extended forecast.
Feast or famine…you can tell where the rain fell over the last 24 hours…
This will help our dry conditions in the southern half of the state. The latest drought monitor was released this morning, but it only considers Monday’s round of active weather. We will have to wait until next week to see how much of the dry conditions to the south/southeast have been erased. Western Kansas is still the driest.
The rain quickly raced off to the east today and skies have cleared.
Winds are gusty and will weaken by sunset. Tonight’s low temperatures won’t be too terrible.
We are setting up for a sunshiny stretch over the next week. Temperatures are rebounding!
We will warm to the 50s and 60s Friday. It will be a gorgeous fall day!
Halloween will be warmer, but with more wind. Gusts to 40 MPH are possible ahead of our next cold front. Saturday night before bed, don’t forget to turn your clocks back by one hour. It is also a good idea to change the batteries in your smoke and carbon monoxide detectors.
Our front this weekend works through dry, but resets our afternoon high temperatures Sunday mainly to the 50s. We will have more 70s in store next week before another push of cooler air. Election Day can’t be beat when it comes to the weather – quiet, sunny and warm. Next Thursday there could also be a few 80s in the mix especially out west.
A strong cold front comes in around Sunday, November 8. Highs will fall back to the 20s and 30s. Some moisture is possible and depending on the track, timing and intensity, could be rain and/or snow.
DENVER — The snow and cold of early this week has moved out of Colorado. The weather pattern will be dry and quiet for the next 5 to 7 days.
Temperatures rebounded dramatically from the record lows of Sunday and Monday. Highs reached the mid-60s to near 70 degrees over the Denver area and the I-25 Corridor this afternoon and under bright, sunny sky. In the mountains and foothills highs reached the upper 40s to middle 50s - melting a lot of snow.
The clear skies and dry air will still mean some cool nighttime temperatures - dropping to around freezing on the plains and into the 20s in the mountains - so snow-making can continue for the ski areas.
Friday will be just slightly cooler as winds shift and blow from the north-northwest behind a very weak weather disturbance passing to the north of Colorado. Expect highs in the low to mid-60s for lower elevations and mid-40s to low 50s in the mountains.
Halloween day will be mild and dry with similar temperature readings to Friday. For Trick or Treat - temperatures will dip into the upper 40s by 8 p.m. and skies will be clear with a big full moon!
For the Broncos game on Sunday, temperatures will be in the low 60s with sunshine (far cry from the snowy game last weekend).
We also have the time change on Sunday. Don't forget to "fall back" Saturday night before bed.
Quiet weather will continue early next week with highs reaching the low to mid-70s!
Election Day weather will be mild and dry - not only for Colorado, but across much of the nation.
Denver7 Weather
Click here to watch the Denver7 live weather stream.
VICTORIA, Texas- This evening clear and cold. Lows headed for the mid 40s. Northerly winds will keep things cold. Tomorrow, the sunshine continues with highs in the low 70s but not as windy. Winds NNE 5-10 mph
TONIGHT: Clear and cold. Low 45. Winds NNE 5-10 mph
TOMORROW: Sunny and mild. High 71. Winds NNE 10 mph
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy and mild. Low 46. High 75. Winds SE 10 mph
***DAYLIGHT SAVING TIME ENDS. TURN CLOCKS BACK ONE HOUR AT 2AM***
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny and a bit warmer. Low 54. High 78. Winds NE 10 mph
MONDAY: Mostly sunny and mild. Lows 51. Highs 70. Winds NE 10 mph
ELECTION DAY: Mostly sunny and mild. Lows 45. Highs 77. Winds SE 10 mph
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy and a tad bit warmer. Low 56. High 80. Winds SE 10 mph
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy with a 20% chance for showers and storms. Low 62. High 80. Winds SE 10 mph
Zeta’s remnants are gone, pushed northeast by a cold front that clears through Alabama today. Behind that front, some much cooler and drier air moves in. Things start to feel like late Fall come Friday, and the Halloween weekend looks pretty nice!
Temperatures top out in the mid 60s Saturday and Sunday afternoon, but temperatures dip into the 50s Saturday evening. For those spending time outdoors Saturday evening, you’ll want to be sure you either have a warm costume, or a jacket ready to go to warm up in the cool evening.
The cooler and drier weather look to stick around for a while. Get the latest on the forecast on the Live Alert 19 app.
SANDRA SHAW THIS MORNING. IT’S REALLY COMFORTABLE OUTSIDE THINGS. LOOKING GOOD. WE’RE DRY DAY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA STILL ON THE HOTTER SIDE TODAY A LITTLE. BIT THIS WEEKEND AND THEN MUCH COOLER BY BY ELECTION DAY. WE’RE TALKING BY THEN. EYES ONLY IN THE UPPER 70S NEVER TOO EARLY TO TALK ABOUT THAT THE SESSION WHEN YOU START OUT IN THE MORNINGS WITH THE MANY OF THE LOWER 80S AROUND THE AREA OF SOUTH, FLORIDA. WE GOT 78 IN WELLINGTON. GOOD MORNING 80 IN WEST BOCA RUNNING THE 83 OR 84 IN BOYNTON 82 AND ATLANTIS LITTLE BIT BETTER UP HERE. MARTIN COUNTY IS 82 IN THE GARDENS 78 AND JUPITER FARMS 78 IN THE ACREAGE 81 IN WEST PALM BEACH RIGHT NOW AND ON THE TREASURE COAST, WE GOT 77 FORT PIERCE AND 77 IN STUART. YOU’VE BEEN CHILLY TODAY. IT LOOKS LIKE THE UPP 80S. HE’S PARTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY. CLOUDY SKIES ON YOUR DAY PLANNER. SO A LOT OF STABILITY IN PLACE. WE’LL TAKE IT. WE HAVE A WEAK FRONT THAT’S GOING TO MOVE THROUGH ON FRIDAY THIS WEEKEND. NOT ONLY WILL IT BE A LITTLE BIT COOLER, BUT WE FALL BACK AN EXTRA HOURS SLEEP SO WHEN YOU GET UP A NEXT MONDAY, IT’LL BE A LITTLE BETTER FOR YOU. REMEMBER A NEW SUNRISE TIMES WILL BE AT 6:30. SO STARTING TO REMIND YOU
Advertisement
Hot and Dry for SFL
Share
Shares
Updated: 4:55 AM EDT Oct 29, 2020
South Florida will see daytime highs in the upper 80s today. High pressure will dominate so dry conditions will persist with southeast winds. A weak cool front slides across the peninsula tomorrow with a slight chance of showers.
South Florida will see daytime highs in the upper 80s today. High pressure will dominate so dry conditions will persist with southeast winds. A weak cool front slides across the peninsula tomorrow with a slight chance of showers.
Almost 300 years ago today—give or take a few days for calendar adjustments over the centuries—Haverhill suffered one of its most calamitous natural spectacles.
By most accounts, the summer of 1727 had been unpleasant in the Merrimack Valley. It had been excessively hot, punctuated by heavy rainstorms with strong winds, frequently accompanied by thunder and lightning. As summer turned to autumn, it was assumed things would cool down to more bearable levels.
Instead, on Sept. 16, “a mighty tempest of wind and rain” slammed into the region. Trees were uprooted across the area, and a tidal surge swept 200 loads of drying hay from the Newbury salt marshes. Based on damage and wind directions reported in Boston, the North Shore was hit by the powerful right-front quadrant of a category one hurricane that came ashore on the South Shore.
The beleaguered colonists were forced to salvage their harvest, repair damage and clean up storm debris before winter arrived. By the end of October, things were returning to normal.
Then, at 10:30 p.m., on Sunday, Oct. 29, 1727, the wrath of God was unleashed on the Merrimack Valley for three endless minutes. An earthquake, estimated to be at least 6.3 on the modern Richter scale, struck. It was centered off the coast of Newburyport. The aftershocks lasted for a week, shaking houses and filling the air with thunder. On the night of Dec. 24, two significant aftershocks produced loud thunder and jarred the houses again. This shock was reported from Charles River to Casco Bay.
This was not the first earthquake to strike the area, nor was it the last, but it may have been the most violent to hit the area. Seismic activity was terrorizing the Haverhill colony as early as 1643, with major quakes in 1755 and 1827. To this day, New England remains extremely seismically active, although most of the activity is measurable only by a seismograph. The area north of Boston is riddled with fault lines. The fault nearest to Haverhill is known as the Newbury-Clinton Fault Zone. Branching out from this main fault are hundreds of minor faults, spreading out like tendrils.
The Newbury-Clinton fault zone is not considered active. It is the geologic equivalent of a scar from the tortured past of the planet. It has probably not moved in more than 140 million years. However, when the active fault off the coast beneath the Atlantic Ocean moves, the energy travels along the old fault line as well, vibrating along its length like a plucked guitar string.
Foot wide fissures shattered the ground in Newburyport. In Newbury, more than 10 sand geysers erupted from the clay lowlands. When the sand was cast on fire, it burned like brimstone. Across the region, cellar walls collapsed, wells went dry and springs were redirected. Piles of sand appeared in the Merrimack River.
Hampton seemed to be nearest to the epicenter. Flashes of earthquake light were reported. One or two witnesses saw streams of bluish light running along the earth (piezoelectric discharge). South of town, the ground broke open and cast up water and fine bluish sand, liquefying the surrounding land.
Haverhill reported stopped clocks, collapsed chimneys, shattered brick houses and stone walls scattered in all directions. The aftershocks reverberated for the better part of the year, with 30 recorded between January and May of 1728.
Even Cotton Mather, New England’s most famous natural philosopher, didn’t know what to make of this earthquake. Its scope and power were far beyond the tremors occasionally reported. Mather wrote that the cause may also have natural causes, but this terrifying event merited serious theological reflection for now.
Ministers in the quake zone had no time or inclination for discussions of scientific or divine causes. They had more pressing concerns¬–terrified parishioners wanting to know why God shook the earth. The simple answer was the very tenet of Puritan mentality: New England was a land of sin, and God always punished sin. The Puritan mindset reasoned that New England was especially prone to divine retribution because, but being inhabited by Puritans, it was a divinely appointed place and held to a higher standard of behavior.
The earthquake rattled the religiously complacent, and repentance and reformation suddenly seemed prudent to even the congregation’s most lax members. John Brown, the minister of Haverhill’s First Parish, wrote to John Cotton, the Newton minister. Although the earthquake had been felt throughout Massachusetts, it was apparent the lower Merrimack Valley had felt the brunt of the seismic activity. Brown writes on Nov. 20, 1727, that not one day had passed without earthquake noise. He reports a sudden, if not unexpected, interest of the townsfolk in their immortal souls. Monday, Oct. 30, the day after the quake, Haverhill held a day of fasting with a full meeting house. With aftershocks still rocking the region, another day of fasting (again with a full meeting house) was held Nov. 1. Brown crossed over to Bradford on Thursday to help out the overwhelmed clergy in that village.
The governor declared Nov. 9 to be a day of thanksgiving. Fasting, prayer, special sermons—all to exalt the Lord, celebrate there had been no deaths and, hopefully, continue the robust church attendance. Brown admitted to Cotton that he barely had time to eat, let alone write a Thanksgiving sermon. He was too busy offering solace to the scared, advice to the devout, and support to the church’s formerly lapsed members. For a full week before and after the day of thanksgiving, he was tending his flock, morning until after sunset.
The result was what Brown felt was a general reformation. More than 200 Haverhillites were admitted to full communion in the year following the earthquake. Another 148 owned the covenant. Baptisms increased dramatically, as did those receiving the sacrament. It was not just Haverhill seeing this resurgence in seismically-induced religiosity. Brown reports tiny Exeter had 40 baptisms, and Amesbury couldn’t get people to stop praying and leave the meeting house.
In the aftermath of the Day of Thanksgiving, the special sermons were printed by the various ministers into pamphlets, available for a small fee to congregants and interested parties. Published sermons were a rare occurrence. Paper was scarce, and the sermons’ proliferation is evidence of the significance placed on the aftermath of the earthquake.
John Cotton’s pamphlet, “A holy fear of God, and his judgments, exhorted to: in a sermon preach’d at Newton, November 3. 1727. On a day of fasting and prayer, occasion’d by the terrible earthquake that shook New-England, on the Lords-Day night before,” included a copy of John Brown’s report from Haverhill, giving a rare firsthand account from the epicenter.
Cotton Mather was correct in pronouncing the Great Earthquake merited serious theological reflection. Still, numerous days of fasting and thanksgiving for a miraculous deliverance did not eliminate the aftershocks. So, in the long term, the earthquake added to a developing schism between Puritan theology and the burgeoning school of scientific rationalism, one that continues to reverberate to this day.
David Goudsward, raised on the summit of Scotland Hill, Haverhill, brings his New England sensibilities and respect for historical perspective his work. Although living in Florida, his bibliography consists primarily of New England topics. His latest book, “Sun, Sand, and Sea Serpents.” The book, his 17th published title, covers sea serpent reports from Florida, the lower eastern seaboard, and the Caribbean. “Sun, Sand, and Sea Serpents,” as well as Goudsward’s earlier titles, may be ordered from local bookstores or on Amazon.
BRASILIA (Reuters) - Brazil’s economy goes into next year continuing its rebound from this year’s pandemic-fueled slump, but risks losing steam because the window for further fiscal and monetary support is closing fast.
FILE PHOTO: Brazil's Economy Minister Paulo Guedes delivers a statement at the Itamaraty Palace in Brasilia, Brazil, October 20, 2020. REUTERS/Adriano Machado
Economy Minister Paulo Guedes insists this year’s emergency measures will end on Dec. 31 and give way to a huge wave of fiscal consolidation, and economists say the prospects of another interest rate cut are dimming, even though the central bank on Wednesday left the door ajar.
With emergency aid to millions of Brazilian families expiring, unemployment at a record high and rising, and confidence indicators starting to wobble, many are wondering where the stimulus, should it be needed, will come from.
“People and businesses are going to need continued support to maintain activity. Even the IMF is saying more fiscal support is needed, yet policymakers are still very wary,” said Emily Weis, emerging market strategist at State Street in Boston.
“It’s a very delicate balance, but more spending is needed,” she said.
On the monetary policy side, the central bank has made clear its reluctance to use “quantitative easing” bond buying to bring down long-term market interest rates, relying on a record low Selic rate of 2.00% and a “forward guidance” pledge not to raise it any time soon.
The bank’s statement on Wednesday after leaving the Selic on hold left the door open to another “small” cut. But with inflation picking up and fiscal stability concerns growing, analysts and traders reckon the next move on rates will be up.
“The central bank is unlikely to compromise its inflation targeting agenda to encourage economic activity, particularly now given the uncertainty on fiscal policy,” said Thomaz Favaro, director at Control Risk, a political risk consultancy in Sao Paulo.
However unlikely it may appear given the highly uncertain economic outlook, traders are currently roughly pricing in a 25-basis-point interest rate hike by May, and 100 basis points of tightening by December.
It is questionable whether an economy with tens of millions of people unemployed or underemployed, weak investment and huge spare productive capacity is strong enough to cope with higher interest rates.
The economy is on course to shrink by a record 5% this year, and rebound 3% or more next, according to consensus forecasts.
LOST DECADE
Brazil’s debt and deficit are among the highest of any emerging nation, and are on a par with many developed economies that are better equipped to carry such a heavy financial burden.
The government’s primary deficit before interest payments is on course to exceed 12% of gross domestic product this year, and the national debt will approach 100% of GDP.
According to Credit Suisse, the Brazilian government’s fiscal support for the economy this year exceeds 8% of GDP, again one of the highest in the emerging world and more than many developed nations.
For a graphic on Global fiscal policy, 2020:
The orthodox view is there is simply no room for further largesse without Brazil breaking its self-imposed fiscal rules, most notably the “spending cap,” and triggering a spiral of soaring debt, currency weakness and growth-crushing rate hikes.
The government wants to introduce a new welfare program “Renda Cidada” next year, which will replace this year’s emergency off-budget aid and merge with the current “Bolsa Familia” program that costs around 35 billion reais a year.
But it is not clear how it will be funded without breaking the government’s spending cap fiscal rule limiting growth in public expenditure to the annual rate of inflation.
Financial markets are concerned, with the real sinking to a five-month low of 5.80 per dollarBRBYand the yield curve steepening <0#DIJ:>.
But from an economic perspective, persistent exchange rate depreciation, a steeper yield curve and surging long-term interest rates are bad news because they reduce the chances of further stimulus from monetary easing or government spending.
And that’s before public fears over the COVID-19 pandemic are taken into account. The latest consumer and business sentiment indicators from the Getulio Vargas Foundation show pandemic fears are affecting the outlook for next year.
“From Q3 this year I think you will see a strong deceleration in the recovery. We will have GDP growth next year due to statistical effects, but the pace of recovery will be slow,” said Guilherme Mello, economics professor at the University of Campinas in Sao Paulo state.
“The economy doesn’t have the engines to drive it forward. GDP per capita is back where it was in 2010, meaning we have literally had a lost decade. The level of GDP will only get back to pre-crisis levels in 2023,” he said.
Reporting by Jamie McGeever; editing by Jonathan Oatis
October 29, 2020 at 10:31PM
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-economy-stimulus-analysis/analysis-brazil-economy-facing-stimulus-drought-as-monetary-fiscal-taps-run-dry-idUSKBN27E2IU
Analysis: Brazil economy facing stimulus drought as monetary, fiscal taps run dry - Reuters.com
:strip_exif(true):strip_icc(true):no_upscale(true):quality(65)/d1vhqlrjc8h82r.cloudfront.net/10-31-2020/t_64eb1c4791034508861dd3fc281c77f8_name_image.jpg)
The Link Lonk
Kelsie Knowles is a meteorologist and recent University of Washington graduate who lives in north Lynnwood. After writing weather blogs as a KOMO News intern, she discovered a passion for writing about weather. You can learn more in her blog www.wxnoggin.com and you can also follow her on Twitter at @kels_wx3.
The Link Lonk
The Link Lonk
